Gabbey Emmalee

Election 2024 Prediction Polls. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house. Trump's result — which looks like it will land at around 50% of voters when all ballots are counted — is about 3 points higher than what the polls showed before the election.

In election prediction modeling, a common debate centers on balancing the influence of fundamental factors, such. I spent my weekend driving around southeastern pennsylvania in a rented minivan.